Published analysis
Research for consequential decisions.
We examine the distance between a technology claim and useful capability. We look for the evidence, constraints, and consequences that matter to a decision.
01AI, autonomy & counter-UAS
Counter-UAS Is an Integration Problem Before It Is an Interceptor Problem
Autonomy can shorten the path from detection to decision, but only if sensors, command and control, effectors, data, authorities, and training are designed as one adaptive system.
Decision signal: Integration burden
Read the analysis →02Electronic warfare, test & training
Electronic Warfare Capability Is Only as Credible as Its Test Environment
Modern electronic warfare systems and crews cannot be judged by laboratory performance alone. They need instrumented, threat-representative environments that combine open-air events, validated simulation, adaptive opposition, and rapid feedback.
Decision signal: Evidence quality
Read the analysis →03Acquisition & the industrial base
A Prototype Is Not a Production Plan
The route to scale must be designed before the demonstration begins. That means a funded customer, a qualified product, an executable factory plan, visible suppliers, and a demand signal industry can finance.
Decision signal: Fielding reality
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